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Who is Winning The War in Ukraine? Maps & Facts -

Who is Winning The War in Ukraine? Maps & Facts

Despite quick gains, the war in Ukraine is still far from over. Ukraine will only emerge victorious if the western military aid doesn’t stop flowing in.

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who is winning the war in Ukraine

Let’s get this straight, no one is winning the war in Ukraine if we specifically talk in terms of causalities or losses. Both, Russia and Ukraine, have lost considerably in terms of manpower and infrastructure.

The war in Ukraine has resulted in chaos and bloodshed with cities upon cities being raised to the ground. But the question remains, “who is winning the war in Ukraine?” and when will the miseries of innocent Ukrainians finally end.

Putin announced special military operation, an invasion, on 24th of February, 2022.

Russia-Ukraine, Who is Winning?

There is no straightforward answer to this question really. If by this we mean whether or not the Ukrainian military has advanced or regained any of its territory? then the answer is yes. 

The Ukrainian military has, astonishingly, regained 55% of its territory lost to the Russian military in the war. Russian President Vladimir Putin made significant changes to the command structure of its military over his displeasure regarding the performance. 

As per the leaked assessments of the US Defense Intelligence Agency, the Russian military had 35,500-43,000 soldiers killed in the war so far. 

The numbers were rejected as propaganda and exaggeration by the Russian officials. Meanwhile Ukrainian casualties are 55% lower than those of Russian, as per the same intelligence assessment.

Ukraine, A Clear Winner?

It is most likely that majority of us may hail Ukraine as a clear winner in this conflict and there are reasons.

  1. Ukrainian military strength is far weaker as compared to Russia. More losses for Russia clearly mean Ukraine is winning.
  2. Russia has been isolated on world stage and is desperately seeking friends.
  3. NATO won because it deliberately dragged Russia into a long bloody war.
  4. Putin’s authority was challenged by his own militia men (Wagner) and people now see him weak.
Wagner Chief died mysteriously a month after he led a coup against Putin’s military

War Maps

But we wouldn’t be able to conclude with objectivity without maps, so let’s see some maps.

Map credits: @War_Mapper
Source: Institute for the study of war, March 17, 2022

One can easily judge by looking at the maps above. The Ukrainian military has made significant changes to the demographics of the region. Experts argue that significant western supplied weaponry has helped stop the Russian advancing armies effectively. 

Ukrainian Drones Attack Inside Russia

Apart from heavy resistance on the ground, Ukrainian drones have been able to target military installations and transport infrastructure inside Russia. On August 30, Ukrainian drones targeted 6 Russian military planes and buildings deep inside Russia. Apart from that, Ukrainian intelligence services have carried out drone strikes on key ports like Novorossiysk.

War is Not Over Yet

Despite quick gains, the war in Ukraine is still far from over. Ukraine will only emerge victorious if the western military aid doesn’t stop flowing in. 

But that also seems very difficult to happen as Republicans are stepping up against the Biden administration. As the US government nears a shutdown, the Ukrainian military is likely to see a shortage of ammunition and aid which will boost Russian morale.

A shutdown shall mean paused paychecks for millions of US citizens, disruption of social services and closed government offices across the U.S. It is also expected to “affect the pace of delivery” of foreign aid and weapons to Ukraine. 

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